It may be the height of summer but I'm already getting the heebie-jeebies about winter. I mean this Government has already shown it can't run a bath or manage a whelk stall though you've got to admit it's pretty good at organising a piss-up in a brewery, judging by the number of parties at No 10.

But my point is you've got this perfect storm heading in our direction, like we've got rocketing gas bills and it's not even cold and everyone's catching the lurgy again which we thought was history.